Charts.

Allocation of the proposed reconstruction fund as outlined in leaked negotiation drafts.

Estimated cumulative GDP loss, measured in 2026 USD. The grey area represents the period of maximum sanctions under the US “maximum pressure” campaign.

Figures based on satellite damage assessments and cost engineering models.

Projected annual oil revenue under full sanctions relief vs. continued partial sanctions vs. the “new demand” baseline that assumes accelerated investment.

Percentage distribution of financial responsibility as tabled by Iranian negotiators.

Scores reflect a composite of military, economic, diplomatic, and domestic political factors (0 = minimal, 100 = maximum).

Bars represent total committed funding over the program’s lifetime. The line represents annual GDP impact as a percentage of the recipient country’s pre‑program GDP.

Hypothetical breakdown of a $250 billion total package, mixing grants, loans, and asset releases.

Survey data on what Iranians believe constitutes an acceptable deal. The red line represents the government’s stated minimum demands.

Each wedge represents a scenario; length indicates probability, color indicates projected average annual GDP growth (green = growth, red = contraction).

Historical deaths attributed to Iranian or Iran‑backed forces, with low and high estimates for a 2026 conflict.

A radial scorecard of the base’s military utility and risks (0 = minimal, 100 = exceptional/critical)

Based on CSIS wargame simulations and historical intensity from Iraq (2003) and the Yom Kippur War.

Normalized scores (0 = minimal capability, 100 = world‑leading). US strength dominates in air and naval power, while Iran scores high in missile and drone quantity.

Cumulative civilian deaths under a high‑intensity air campaign (low estimate vs. high estimate). Figures include direct strikes and infrastructure‑related indirect deaths.

Brent crude price (line) and quarter‑over‑quarter GDP change (bars). Baseline assumes 2026 Q1 GDP growth of 3.1%.

Percentage of Americans supporting or opposing a major military operation to stop Iran’s nuclear program.

Based on a full‑invasion scenario. Cost includes operations, munitions, personnel, and long‑term care for wounded.

Each wedge represents one scenario. The length indicates probability (0–100), and the color severity (red = high impact, yellow = moderate, green = low).

Shipping costs (Baltic Dry Index), food prices (FAO), and oil prices (Brent) show persistent volatility linked to conflict events.

Lockheed Martin, RTX, Northrop Grumman, BAE Systems, and Rheinmetall combined.